Scottish Championship Normal Season Round 36

Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis

Dumbarton Falkirk
53 ELO 64
7.3% Tilt 13.5%
3930º General ELO ranking 398º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
29.2%
Dumbarton
26.1%
Draw
44.7%
Falkirk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.7%
Win probability
Falkirk
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+2%
+3%
Falkirk

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Falkirk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2017
DUN
Dundee United
2 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
70%
19%
12%
53 64 11 0
22 Apr. 2017
QOS
Queen of the South
1 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
60%
21%
19%
52 59 7 +1
15 Apr. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
33%
26%
41%
53 61 8 -1
08 Apr. 2017
STM
St. Mirren
1 - 1
Dumbarton
DUM
58%
22%
20%
53 59 6 0
01 Apr. 2017
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
28%
27%
46%
52 63 11 +1

Matches

Falkirk
Falkirk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Apr. 2017
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
Queen of the South
QOS
60%
23%
18%
64 58 6 0
22 Apr. 2017
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1 - 2
Falkirk
FAL
45%
26%
29%
64 62 2 0
15 Apr. 2017
FAL
Falkirk
2 - 2
St. Mirren
STM
53%
24%
24%
64 60 4 0
08 Apr. 2017
DUN
Dundee United
1 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
52%
24%
24%
63 64 1 +1
01 Apr. 2017
FAL
Falkirk
1 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
69%
20%
12%
63 54 9 0