Dumbarton vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
2 - 2
DUM
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
QOS
1 - 2
DUM
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DUM
0 - 2
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
STM
1 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
DUM
1 - 0
GRE
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 2
QOS
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 2
FAL
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FAL
2 - 2
STM
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
DUN
1 - 1
FAL
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
FAL
1 - 0
RAI
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |