Scottish League Cup Round 4

Dumbarton vs Celtic analysis

Dumbarton Celtic
69 ELO 83
7.5% Tilt 5.4%
4032º General ELO ranking 455º
46º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
25.9%
Dumbarton
21.6%
Draw
52.5%
Celtic

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
Dumbarton
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
52.5%
Win probability
Celtic
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dumbarton
+33%
+25%
Celtic

ELO progression

Dumbarton
Celtic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dumbarton
Dumbarton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1976
DUM
Dumbarton
1 - 2
Dundee United
DUN
49%
22%
29%
69 77 8 0
18 Aug. 1976
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
77%
14%
10%
70 82 12 -1
14 Aug. 1976
DUM
Dumbarton
2 - 0
Arbroath
ARB
65%
18%
17%
69 65 4 +1
27 Aug. 1975
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
6 - 2
Dumbarton
DUM
67%
18%
15%
70 82 12 -1
23 Aug. 1975
DUM
Dumbarton
0 - 8
Celtic
CEL
29%
22%
49%
71 83 12 -1

Matches

Celtic
Celtic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Aug. 1976
ARB
Arbroath
0 - 5
Celtic
CEL
22%
19%
59%
83 64 19 0
18 Aug. 1976
CEL
Celtic
3 - 0
Dumbarton
DUM
77%
14%
10%
82 70 12 +1
14 Aug. 1976
DUN
Dundee United
0 - 1
Celtic
CEL
39%
22%
39%
82 77 5 0
03 May. 1976
HOM
Heart of Midlothian
1 - 0
Celtic
CEL
31%
27%
43%
83 76 7 -1
01 May. 1976
AYR
Ayr United
3 - 5
Celtic
CEL
36%
26%
38%
82 73 9 +1