Dumbarton vs Alloa Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dumbarton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BER
1 - 3
DUM
35%
23%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 3
DUM
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
DUM
47%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DUM
2 - 1
CWB
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
DUM
0 - 0
CWB
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alloa Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 2
STI
60%
21%
19%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ALL
1 - 0
RAI
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CWB
0 - 2
ALL
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ALL
3 - 0
INV
65%
19%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ALL
0 - 3
QOS
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |