Dorense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
65.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ADC
2 - 3
DOR
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
80%
14%
6%
|
33 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
DOR
1 - 0
ATG
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 1
DOR
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
DOR
0 - 0
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
ITA
79%
16%
6%
|
52 | 79 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
ITA
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |