Non League Premier Southern South. Jor. 24

Dorchester Town vs Merthyr Town analysis

Dorchester Town Merthyr Town
20 ELO 31
-4.4% Tilt 4.2%
6751º General ELO ranking 5304º
327º Country ELO ranking 233º
ELO win probability
24.8%
Dorchester Town
23.8%
Draw
51.4%
Merthyr Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
Dorchester Town
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.4%
Win probability
Merthyr Town
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dorchester Town
+54%
-13%
Merthyr Town

ELO progression

Dorchester Town
Merthyr Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dorchester Town
Dorchester Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Dec. 2020
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
3 - 2
Dorchester Town
DOR
73%
16%
11%
20 36 16 0
31 Oct. 2020
DOR
Dorchester Town
2 - 1
Gosport Borough
GOS
22%
23%
55%
18 33 15 +2
27 Oct. 2020
TAU
Taunton Town
2 - 1
Dorchester Town
DOR
89%
8%
3%
18 38 20 0
24 Oct. 2020
DOR
Dorchester Town
1 - 6
Salisbury City
SAL
9%
15%
76%
19 38 19 -1
17 Oct. 2020
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
2 - 0
Dorchester Town
DOR
80%
13%
7%
20 36 16 -1

Matches

Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2020
MER
Merthyr Town
0 - 3
Poole Town
POO
40%
24%
36%
32 37 5 0
07 Mar. 2020
SAL
Salisbury City
2 - 1
Merthyr Town
MER
71%
16%
13%
33 38 5 -1
29 Feb. 2020
MER
Merthyr Town
0 - 0
Beaconsfield
BEA
66%
18%
16%
33 27 6 0
25 Feb. 2020
WIM
Wimborne Town
0 - 0
Merthyr Town
MER
46%
23%
31%
33 31 2 0
22 Feb. 2020
BLA
Blackfield & Langley
0 - 0
Merthyr Town
MER
27%
23%
50%
34 26 8 -1
X