Dnepr Smolensk vs Znamya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnepr Smolensk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
KOL
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
FCV
1 - 1
DNE
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 4
DNE
30%
29%
41%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 0
KHI
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
DNE
1 - 2
VOL
41%
28%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Znamya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
LOK
4 - 0
ZNA
75%
17%
9%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
1 - 0
FCR
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
1 - 0
SEV
16%
21%
63%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +3 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ZNA
0 - 0
KOL
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 1
ZNA
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |