Diter Zafra vs Amanecer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
COR
2 - 2
CDZ
15%
25%
60%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CDZ
1 - 0
MOR
63%
24%
14%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PLA
0 - 2
CDZ
23%
27%
50%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CDZ
1 - 0
UCL
69%
21%
10%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CDZ
2 - 2
BUR
66%
23%
12%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Amanecer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
AMA
2 - 0
VIL
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
DBN
2 - 0
AMA
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AMA
0 - 0
EXT
30%
24%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ARR
0 - 1
AMA
60%
21%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
AMA
2 - 1
VIL
34%
25%
41%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |