UEFA Intertoto Cup 1/16
Global 3-3
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2000 |
DTB
6 - 1
GOR
89%
8%
3%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2000 |
SIO
0 - 2
DTB
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
SAM
0 - 0
DTB
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
DTB
1 - 1
FTK
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
DBA
0 - 0
DTB
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
SDL
1 - 4
GNK
38%
24%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2000 |
SDL
1 - 3
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
AND
2 - 0
SDL
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2000 |
LIE
0 - 0
SDL
53%
21%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
SDL
3 - 1
EEA
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |