Deux vs San Mateo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+691%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
VCD
4 - 2
DEU
53%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DEU
4 - 2
ESP
20%
19%
62%
|
5 | 11 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
DEU
2 - 6
VIL
23%
20%
57%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
EDE
4 - 3
DEU
35%
22%
43%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
RIH
1 - 8
DEU
61%
18%
21%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
San Mateo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
2 - 2
RIH
40%
21%
39%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
MOV
3 - 3
MAT
48%
21%
30%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GAR
2 - 0
MAT
73%
15%
12%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 4
LJF
34%
21%
45%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AST
4 - 0
MAT
51%
20%
29%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |