Desportivo Aves vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
3 - 4
AVE
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOA
31%
31%
39%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 0
AVE
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
2 - 2
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
VST
1 - 1
AVE
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 1
PAÇ
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BOA
3 - 1
PAÇ
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
ACA
0 - 2
PAÇ
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |