Série A Segunda fase, perdedores, grupo Q. Jor. 2

Desportiva Ferroviária vs Vitória analysis

Desportiva Ferroviária Vitória
68 ELO 77
-13.5% Tilt -1.3%
4949º General ELO ranking 411º
188º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
34%
Desportiva Ferroviária
29.9%
Draw
36.1%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
Desportiva Ferroviária
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
36%
Win probability
Vitória
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Desportiva Ferroviária
+30%
+20%
Vitória

ELO progression

Desportiva Ferroviária
Vitória
Fluminense de Feira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Desportiva Ferroviária
Desportiva Ferroviária
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 1977
VOL
Volta Redonda
2 - 0
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
44%
27%
29%
68 62 6 0
23 Nov. 1977
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
2 - 1
Bahía
BAH
25%
26%
50%
67 83 16 +1
20 Nov. 1977
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
3 - 1
Confiança
CON
52%
27%
21%
66 64 2 +1
16 Nov. 1977
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
67%
21%
13%
65 79 14 +1
13 Nov. 1977
FLU
Fluminense de Feira
0 - 0
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
38%
27%
36%
66 55 11 -1

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 1977
VIT
Vitória
2 - 0
Vitória ES
VIT
73%
19%
9%
78 55 23 0
20 Nov. 1977
SER
Sergipe
2 - 1
Vitória
VIT
27%
31%
42%
78 52 26 0
16 Nov. 1977
VIT
Vitória
0 - 1
Desportiva Ferroviária
DES
67%
21%
13%
79 65 14 -1
13 Nov. 1977
BAH
Bahía
1 - 0
Vitória
VIT
54%
26%
19%
79 83 4 0
09 Nov. 1977
FLU
Fluminense de Feira
0 - 2
Vitória
VIT
29%
30%
41%
79 55 24 0
X