Derry City vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
SHR
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
SLR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
UCD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 1
SHE
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FIN
0 - 2
BOH
21%
27%
52%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SHR
5 - 1
FIN
72%
20%
9%
|
55 | 77 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STP
2 - 1
FIN
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
FIN
3 - 2
SLR
21%
27%
52%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |