Derby County Sub 23 vs Arsenal Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
WHU
0 - 2
DER
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
TOT
42%
24%
35%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
2 - 3
DER
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
DER
1 - 0
BHA
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MCI
3 - 2
DER
64%
19%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 5
CHE
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 1
ARS
21%
22%
57%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 0
EVE
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 2
ARS
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 0
LIV
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |