Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
BIR
2 - 2
DER
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
DER
4 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2019 |
BBU
2 - 0
DER
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
BRE
3 - 3
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DER
6 - 1
ROT
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 2
BBU
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
QPR
4 - 0
SWA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
MIL
0 - 0
QPR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
4 - 0
QPR
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 2
BOL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |