La Guaira vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
1º
10º
1º
16
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
26 | 26 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 9 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
AAF
0 - 1
DEP
35%
30%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
DEP
1 - 0
CFC
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DRZ
1 - 1
DEP
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
DEP
2 - 2
UCV
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MON
1 - 1
DEP
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
MET
3 - 0
CAR
46%
28%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2025 |
AAF
3 - 1
MET
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
YAR
0 - 0
MET
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
CFC
1 - 0
MET
34%
26%
41%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
MET
2 - 1
APC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |