Qualifying stages Copa Libertadores 3ra Ronda. Final

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Defensor Sporting vs Atl. Mineiro analysis

Defensor Sporting Atl. Mineiro
70 ELO 83
2.8% Tilt 2.5%
293º General ELO ranking 65º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
28.6%
Defensor Sporting
25.9%
Draw
45.6%
Atl. Mineiro

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
Defensor Sporting
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
45.6%
Win probability
Atl. Mineiro
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Defensor Sporting
+9%
+2%
Atl. Mineiro

ELO progression

Defensor Sporting
Atl. Mineiro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
0 - 1
Peñarol
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
71 81 10 0
13 Feb. 2019
BSC
Barcelona SC
1 - 0
Defensor Sporting
DEF
59%
22%
18%
73 81 8 -2
06 Feb. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
3 - 0
Barcelona SC
BSC
36%
27%
37%
71 81 10 +2
31 Jan. 2019
DEF
Defensor Sporting
2 - 3
Bolívar
BOL
39%
23%
38%
72 73 1 -1
24 Jan. 2019
BOL
Bolívar
2 - 4
Defensor Sporting
DEF
56%
22%
23%
71 73 2 +1

Matches

Atl. Mineiro
Atl. Mineiro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2019
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 0
Tupi
TUP
88%
10%
2%
83 50 33 0
12 Feb. 2019
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
3 - 2
Danubio
DAN
71%
19%
11%
83 72 11 0
09 Feb. 2019
CAL
Caldense
0 - 1
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
6%
15%
79%
83 43 40 0
05 Feb. 2019
DAN
Danubio
2 - 2
Atl. Mineiro
ATM
29%
26%
45%
83 72 11 0
02 Feb. 2019
ATM
Atl. Mineiro
2 - 0
Guarani MG
GUA
89%
9%
2%
83 46 37 0
X