Def. Belgrano vs Villa Dálmine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
DEF
59%
25%
16%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 1
BAR
44%
30%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
52%
28%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
34%
30%
36%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
AND
1 - 2
DEF
56%
25%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Villa Dálmine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
3 - 1
MOR
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 2
ATL
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UAI
1 - 2
DAL
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 0
EST
29%
30%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ARM
2 - 3
DAL
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |