Def. Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
22.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 2
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 1
COL
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
AND
2 - 2
DEF
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
DEF
0 - 2
ACA
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SUA
0 - 2
DEF
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
FLA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
SAR
0 - 2
CHI
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
ESP
65%
23%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
STM
1 - 1
CHI
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 1
ATL
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |