DC United vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DC United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
DCU
0 - 1
KCW
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
COC
0 - 1
DCU
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2005 |
CFS
4 - 3
DCU
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
DCU
2 - 0
NER
48%
24%
29%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
DCU
4 - 3
CFS
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2005 |
COC
1 - 2
SJE
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
DAL
2 - 2
SJE
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2005 |
SJE
1 - 0
COR
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
SJE
3 - 0
GAL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
SJE
3 - 0
RSL
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |