Darlington FC vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
STO
1 - 0
DAR
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
DAR
1 - 1
ASH
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
SUT
0 - 1
DAR
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 4
DAR
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
DAR
3 - 0
MAT
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
2 - 0
ILK
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 2
SAL
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ILK
2 - 1
SAL
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
3 - 4
DAR
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
4 - 0
RAM
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |