Danubio vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
DAN
37%
29%
35%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CEL
2 - 0
DAN
44%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 2
DAN
71%
19%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
ATM
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 2
BOS
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
ZAM
0 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 1
NAC
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 4
MWA
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |