III Liga Grupo 4. Jor. 18

Czarni Połaniec vs Avia Świdnik analysis

Czarni Połaniec Avia Świdnik
34 ELO 44
-1.3% Tilt -3.9%
6224º General ELO ranking 3183º
125º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
14.7%
Czarni Połaniec
23.7%
Draw
61.6%
Avia Świdnik

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
Czarni Połaniec
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
61.6%
Win probability
Avia Świdnik
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Czarni Połaniec
-23%
-8%
Avia Świdnik

Points and table prediction

Czarni Połaniec
Their league position
Avia Świdnik
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
18º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stal Stalowa Wola
71
74
100%
Avia Świdnik
68
68
100%
Wieczysta Kraków
64
67
100%
KSZO Ostrowiec
58
58
100%
Podlasie Biała Podlaska
55
55
100%
Cracovia Kraków II
54
54
100%
Wisłoka Dębica
52
52
100%
Sokół Sieniawa
48
48
100%
Czarni Połaniec
47
47
100%
NKP Podhale
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Orleta Radzyn
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Chełmianka Chełm
12º
40
40
12º
100%
Wiązownica
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Unia Tarnów
14º
40
40
14º
0%
Korona Kielce II
15º
39
39
15º
89%
LKS Lagow
16º
37
37
16º
89%
Wisła Sandomierz
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Lublinianka
18º
23
23
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Czarni Połaniec
Avia Świdnik
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Czarni Połaniec
Avia Świdnik
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Czarni Połaniec
Czarni Połaniec
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Feb. 2023
KSZ
KSZO Ostrowiec
1 - 0
Czarni Połaniec
CPO
59%
22%
19%
28 37 9 0
19 Nov. 2022
CPO
Czarni Połaniec
3 - 2
Korona Kielce II
MSK
34%
24%
42%
27 32 5 +1
12 Nov. 2022
WIS
Wisłoka Dębica
2 - 3
Czarni Połaniec
CPO
71%
17%
12%
26 37 11 +1
05 Nov. 2022
CPO
Czarni Połaniec
2 - 1
Wieczysta Kraków
WIE
12%
17%
72%
23 41 18 +3
29 Oct. 2022
CHE
Chełmianka Chełm
2 - 0
Czarni Połaniec
CPO
74%
16%
10%
23 38 15 0

Matches

Avia Świdnik
Avia Świdnik
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Nov. 2022
ASW
Avia Świdnik
3 - 0
Wisła Sandomierz
WIS
85%
12%
4%
46 18 28 0
13 Nov. 2022
MSK
Korona Kielce II
0 - 1
Avia Świdnik
ASW
23%
25%
52%
45 33 12 +1
05 Nov. 2022
ASW
Avia Świdnik
2 - 0
Wisłoka Dębica
WIS
60%
22%
18%
45 38 7 0
29 Oct. 2022
WIE
Wieczysta Kraków
1 - 1
Avia Świdnik
ASW
39%
26%
35%
45 40 5 0
22 Oct. 2022
ASW
Avia Świdnik
1 - 0
Chełmianka Chełm
CHE
60%
22%
18%
44 39 5 +1
X