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FAW Championship Gales. Sur, Matchday 26

Cwmamman United vs Llanelli Town AFC analysis

Cwmamman United Llanelli Town AFC
13 ELO 11
9% Tilt 98%
9581º General ELO ranking 10340º
78º Country ELO ranking 86º
ELO win probability
28.6%
Cwmamman United
21.5%
Draw
49.9%
Llanelli Town AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
Cwmamman United
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
49.9%
Win probability
Llanelli Town AFC
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cwmamman United
-4%
+59%
Llanelli Town AFC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swansea University
56
65
48%
Haverfordwest County AFC
55
65
44%
Briton Ferry
47
58
85%
Cambrian & Clydach
40
49
19%
STM Sports
39
51
18%
Ammanford AFC
37
45
20%
Llanelli Town AFC
37
43
20%
Goytre United
36
43
17%
Pontypridd Town
34
41
10º
18%
Afan Lido
10º
34
41
18%
Llantwit Major
11º
27
36
11º
30%
Undy Athletic
12º
23
35
12º
16%
Cwmbran Celtic
13º
22
33
13º
19%
Taffs Well
14º
21
27
14º
41%
Cwmamman United
15º
17
24
15º
39%
Caerau Ely
16º
7
16
16º
85%
Expected probabilities
Cwmamman United
Llanelli Town AFC
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
47% 100%
Relegation
53% 0%

ELO progression

Cwmamman United
CWU
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
Llantwit Major
LLA
Newport County
NEW
Port Vale
POR
Northampton
NOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cwmamman United
Cwmamman United
1%
X%
2%
ELO CWU ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2020
GOY
Goytre United
2 - 1
Cwmamman United
CWU
47%
27%
26%
188 279 91 -1
15 Feb. 2020
PON
Pontypridd Town
1 - 1
Cwmamman United
CWU
46%
27%
26%
188 240 52 0
08 Feb. 2020
CAE
Caerau Ely
1 - 1
Cwmamman United
CWU
45%
27%
28%
188 203 15 0
25 Jan. 2020
CWU
Cwmamman United
2 - 1
Undy Athletic
UND
45%
27%
28%
187 184 3 +1
10 Jan. 2020
CWU
Cwmamman United
0 - 6
Briton Ferry
BRI
41%
28%
30%
189 249 -60 -3

Matches

Llanelli Town AFC
Llanelli Town AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO LLA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2020
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
0 - 2
Swansea University
SUF
46%
27%
28%
170 222 -52 -2
14 Feb. 2020
AAF
Ammanford AFC
2 - 5
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
58%
22%
20%
167 787 620 0
08 Feb. 2020
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
2 - 2
Taffs Well
TAF
41%
28%
30%
167 243 -76 0
25 Jan. 2020
CWM
Cwmbran Celtic
4 - 5
Llanelli Town AFC
LLA
45%
27%
28%
165 189 24 +1
17 Jan. 2020
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
2 - 1
STM Sports
STM
41%
28%
30%
164 230 -66 +1