CD Guarnizo vs EMD Santillana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
BEZ
1 - 0
CUL
38%
26%
36%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CUL
0 - 1
ALB
49%
26%
26%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ESC
3 - 0
CUL
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CUL
2 - 1
MER
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CAY
1 - 0
CUL
60%
23%
18%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Santillana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
LAR
16%
22%
62%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RAY
2 - 0
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 3
TRO
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
SMA
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |