Cup . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BER
1 - 0
CSK
40%
28%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
4 - 0
BVR
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
ETA
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
0 - 0
LPL
45%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
CSK
3 - 1
CVA
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ludogorets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 1
LUD
23%
24%
53%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
LUD
2 - 1
LPL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
LUD
1 - 0
ARK
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
BER
1 - 4
LUD
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
FCT
1 - 2
LUD
24%
23%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |