Macará vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UCE
3 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIG
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2018 |
MAC
2 - 0
RIV
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
BSC
4 - 1
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
UCE
3 - 1
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
UCE
29%
27%
45%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 0
AUC
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCE
55%
23%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
UCE
3 - 1
DEL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |