Copa Libertadores Playoffs. Last 16
Global 0-0
Independiente del Valle vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
IVT
1 - 0
TEC
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 3
IVT
29%
25%
46%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 3
LDU
77%
15%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
BSC
2 - 0
IVT
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
IVT
2 - 1
CUE
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 2
DAN
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
0 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
DEF
63%
21%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 2
NAC
20%
27%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |