Cruzeiro vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
CHA
3 - 2
CRZ
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAL
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2016 |
PPE
0 - 4
CRZ
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 0
CRZ
46%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 1
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
VIT
3 - 2
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 2
VIT
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 2
CHA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |