Cruzeiro vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
CRZ
3 - 1
GOY
81%
13%
7%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
26%
29%
45%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
CRZ
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
27%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SCI
52%
25%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1978 |
MIX
2 - 1
PPE
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
PPE
2 - 0
PAL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1978 |
PPE
1 - 2
SCI
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 1
PPE
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
PPE
1 - 1
GOY
76%
15%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |