Cruzeiro vs Goytacaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 1
CRZ
26%
29%
45%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
CRZ
18%
23%
59%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
27%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SCI
52%
25%
22%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
MIX
0 - 1
CRZ
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Goytacaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 1
ATM
19%
23%
58%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
1 - 1
AME
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1978 |
SCI
2 - 1
GOY
82%
12%
6%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
GOY
0 - 1
VIT
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
PPE
1 - 1
GOY
76%
15%
10%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |