Libertadores Supercup . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Cruzeiro vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VIT
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
EST
1 - 0
CRZ
48%
27%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
CRZ
3 - 0
CRI
52%
26%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
CRZ
4 - 0
OLI
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
CRZ
1 - 2
GUA
45%
29%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1994 |
EST
1 - 0
CRZ
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1994 |
EST
2 - 0
FLA
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
FLA
0 - 0
EST
70%
19%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1994 |
EST
4 - 1
RAC
41%
31%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1994 |
LAN
3 - 3
EST
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |