Copa do Brasil . Last 16
Global 6-2
Cruzeiro vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATM
44%
25%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
CRZ
32%
27%
42%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 2
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 2
CRZ
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 5
CRZ
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 1
BOT
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAN
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 2
BOT
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
FLU
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
GRE
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |