Mineiro 1 . Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Cruzeiro vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.4%
2.9%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
21%
70%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 2
DEF
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 3
CRZ
5%
15%
80%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
DEF
2 - 0
CRZ
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 1
TUP
88%
9%
3%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
CRZ
10%
21%
70%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 0
BOA
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 0
BOA
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
BOA
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |