Cruzeiro vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
COT
4 - 0
CRZ
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FLU
42%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAH
0 - 1
CRZ
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
CRZ
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CRZ
1 - 2
PPE
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
BOT
52%
24%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
ATM
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
VAS
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
ATM
1 - 0
COT
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FLU
0 - 0
ATM
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |