Cruces SD vs CD Union analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+404%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruces SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
EST
3 - 0
CRU
82%
13%
6%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SLV
2 - 0
CRU
92%
7%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
1 - 6
FIS
29%
23%
49%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 0
CRU
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 3
PUE
8%
16%
76%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
UNI
4 - 0
SLV
36%
24%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FIS
0 - 4
UNI
31%
23%
46%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 1
DUM
38%
23%
39%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
PUE
3 - 2
UNI
63%
20%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 3
EST
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | -1 |