Croatia U21 vs Bosnia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
HRV
3 - 1
HUN
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 1
HRV
12%
19%
70%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
GRC
3 - 4
HRV
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 2
HRV
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
HRV
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
RUS
3 - 0
BIH
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BIH
1 - 2
WLS
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
MLT
2 - 1
BIH
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
WLS
4 - 0
BIH
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
FRA
4 - 0
BIH
77%
17%
7%
|
52 | 82 | 30 | -1 |