Criciúma vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
VAS
2 - 0
CRI
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 1
SCI
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
COR
1 - 1
CRI
75%
15%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
CAS
0 - 0
CRI
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
CRI
1 - 0
JUV
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIO
66%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1986 |
COM
2 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
VIT
2 - 2
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
NAC
3 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |