Criciúma vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 0
CRI
84%
12%
4%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CRI
3 - 0
CRB
29%
29%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
OPE
2 - 0
CRI
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
CSA
1 - 1
CRI
70%
20%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CRI
1 - 1
NOV
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SAM
61%
24%
14%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
REM
61%
23%
17%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 2
CRZ
31%
30%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |