Crewe Alexandra vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2020 |
CRE
4 - 1
CUM
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
CRE
3 - 1
SCU
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
SAL
3 - 1
CRE
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
STE
1 - 5
CRE
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CRE
1 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2020 |
DER
2 - 1
BAR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SWA
0 - 0
BAR
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
WBA
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
MIL
1 - 2
BAR
52%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
5 - 3
QPR
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |