Crema vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
13.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CRE
4 - 0
DAR
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 3
CRE
10%
17%
73%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CRE
4 - 0
ASO
79%
14%
8%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
RIG
3 - 2
CRE
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAN
1 - 1
CRE
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARG
1 - 1
DER
59%
21%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
DER
3 - 1
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 2
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
FEZ
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LAV
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |