Crawley Town vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
74.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 2
AFC
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 3
NOR
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TOW
0 - 0
CRA
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
1 - 0
BRO
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
LEY
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FUL
3 - 2
BRE
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
WOL
0 - 0
FUL
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FUL
2 - 2
LIV
6%
14%
80%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FUL
1 - 1
VIL
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 3
FUL
27%
24%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |