Crawley Town vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crawley Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
OXF
1 - 1
CRA
27%
28%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 0
BAR
78%
15%
8%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 2
GIL
66%
20%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRE
1 - 1
CRA
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRA
3 - 0
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
1 - 0
MIL
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
SOU
0 - 1
BRI
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
COV
1 - 0
BRI
36%
28%
37%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BRI
0 - 0
NTT
45%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
BRI
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |