Cosmos vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
61.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
0 - 0
COS
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 3
FAE
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
COS
0 - 2
FIO
7%
17%
76%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
COS
2 - 3
TPE
7%
14%
79%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 0
COS
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
1 - 0
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 0
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TPE
3 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 2
MUR
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
MUR
0 - 1
FIO
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |