Coritiba vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
COT
1 - 0
PAL
14%
24%
63%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
COT
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
COT
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
COT
1 - 1
GRE
20%
27%
53%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
COT
72%
18%
9%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
CEA
1 - 3
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
CEA
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
COR
2 - 1
CEA
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
0 - 2
ATP
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CEA
2 - 1
PAL
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | +1 |