Coritiba vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
COT
2 - 0
OPE
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1984 |
BOT
3 - 1
COT
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
AME
0 - 1
COT
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
GRE
5 - 0
COT
55%
24%
20%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
COT
1 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
BOT
0 - 0
AME
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1984 |
BOT
3 - 1
COT
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
OPE
1 - 1
BOT
33%
25%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1984 |
SAN
1 - 2
BOT
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1984 |
BOT
0 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |