Corinthians vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
COR
10%
21%
68%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MIR
2 - 3
COR
22%
26%
53%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
PAL
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
COR
18%
25%
58%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
NOV
86%
11%
4%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
79%
15%
6%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
ITU
0 - 0
SAN
11%
21%
67%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
FER
74%
17%
8%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAO
73%
18%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RBB
2 - 3
SAN
18%
25%
58%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |