Copa do Brasil Final
Global 1-3
Corinthians vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
26.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
COR
0 - 3
FLA
43%
28%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AMF
0 - 0
COR
23%
26%
51%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
CRZ
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 0
COR
47%
27%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BOC
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
CRZ
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
CRZ
1 - 1
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | +1 |