Korea DPR vs South Korea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CHN
3 - 1
PRK
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
8%
17%
75%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 1
PRK
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
JOR
0 - 1
PRK
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
THA
1 - 0
PRK
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
JPN
1 - 1
KOR
46%
24%
29%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
PRK
1 - 1
KOR
8%
17%
75%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CHN
2 - 3
KOR
24%
23%
54%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
KOR
4 - 0
TKM
86%
11%
3%
|
89 | 62 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
KOR
0 - 1
CHI
47%
28%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |