Connah's Quay vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CON
0 - 2
TNS
37%
24%
39%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
28%
23%
49%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
BAL
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 1
EDI
78%
15%
8%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 0
BAR
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
BAL
2 - 2
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAE
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2019 |
TNS
5 - 0
NEW
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 2
CON
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |