Connah's Quay vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
CAR
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CON
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
0 - 3
CON
10%
22%
67%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CEF
1 - 6
HAV
15%
19%
66%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |